Thursday, 28 June 2012

Boring Boring Spain?

Why is this a thing? Why is this even being spoken about? Xavi should be dropped, Spain are boring, they are killing football. Is this some kind of sick joke? The majority of these players are some of the best players of the last 20 years, some of them the best ever and this is being levied at them? The mind truly boggles.


Spain came into this championship with a headache. As I blogged about way back at the start, they have too many midfielders. Xabi Alonso, Busquets, Iniesta, Xavi, Silva, Fabregas, Mata (remember him?) and Cazorla would most definitely start for 90% of any other teams in world football. Del Bosque picked 3 strikers in his squad, none of whom came into the championships in sparkling form. The natural choice then was to pack the midfield. They have done this barring the two occasions when Torres started against a very poor Ireland and scored two goals and then Negredo was on the pitch for a spell against Portugal (but the less said about that the better).


On the majority of occasions Spain have, to all extents and purposes played an incredibly narrow 4-6-0. Del Bosque has introduced a double pivot of Xabi Alonso and Busquets as a way of ensuring an even greater degree of control in games. This has worked, very well defensively but then Spain have been very good defensively for the best part of 6 years. The old adage that if the opponent doesn't have the ball they can't hurt you. Incredibly, Spain have still not conceded a goal in a knockout tournament since France put 3 past them in the last 16 of World Cup 2006!


In front of the double pivot is the quartet of Xavi, Iniesta, Silva & Fabregas. Six ball playing central midfielders packed into the space where 3 at most would play. This has resulted in Silva and Fabregas taking turns at the 'false' 9 or 'Messi' role. As fantastic as they both are, this isn't their role and it's unfair to ask them to play it.


Xavi has, unbelievably in my opinion, come under some semi serious criticism during these championships and I'll try to explain why.
Xavi has made a career out of keeping possession as can be seen by last nights statistics. He had a quiet game in comparison to usual, only attempting 70 passes but with 67 of them finding target giving him a frighteningly high accuracy rate of 97%.  This is made even more telling when it is shown that he only touched the ball 78 times. The level of skill to play this number of passes so accurately with one touch can never be understated.






Obsessed with rondo, the spanish version of piggy in the middle he prides himself on one touch, incisive, intelligent football. During this tournament it has been mooted that perhaps himself and Spain are taking possession football too far and it appears to be tiki taka without any form of penetration. This is partly true, but there are reasons for this.With Barcelona, everything goes though Xavi. He is the fulcrum, the regista. It all channels through him, he dictates the tempo, he orchestrates the choir and is deep enough to see the full picture ahead of him. At any given moment he has 3, 4 sometimes 5 players to hit with a pass. With Spain, he has been playing as a mediapunta, a slightly more advanced position than he is used to. With the lack of midfielde runners and a focal point (not necessarily a target man) Xavi of Spain often receives the ball 20 yards higher up the park and naturally his options are a lot more limited. He now only has one or two options to pass to and therefore opts to play it safe, keep possession and try to reshuffle the deck. 


Despite this supposed lack of penetration, Spain have attempted to play 66 through balls at Euro 2012, a massive amount compared to 2nd place Russia with 23. This shows that, to put it bluntly, the bullets are still being loaded but the gun isn't firing as it should. 


This could also be down to another difference between Barcelona and Spain. A lack of natural width.








This diagram illustrates how active both Spains full backs were in the semi-final against Portugal. They are both asked to play high up the park to provide some semblance of natural width but only Jordi Alba looks to be comfortable doing this. Alba has had a fantastic tournament as is seen with him completing the third highest passes in the attacking third but for the most part he has been Spains only wide player. Due to Piques injury, Alvaro Arbeloa has played at right back while Sergio Ramos has filled in excellently alongside Gerard Pique at centre half. This again stunts Spain's width as Arbeloa is nowhere near as attack minded as Ramos. It will be interesting to see how Alba and Dani Alves fare as Barcelona's full backs next year if as expected if he makes the move from Valencia once the championships are finished. 


As mentioned, it's been obvious throughout this tournament that Spain's primary focus has been retaining possession. This doesn't equate to negative or boring football. They simply wait for their chance, recycling possession and effectively tiring the opponents out. It was remarked last night that Spain should have attacked Portugal a lot earlier rather than waiting till extra time. I don't buy into this. You attack these teams and they will sit in and counter attack. Would you want Nani, Ronaldo and Joao Moutinho attacking you in the 20th minute or the 120th minute? The answer is obvious. Spain attacked freely and openly at the precise moment they realised Portugal had ran out of steam. The introduction of players such as Pedro, Jesus Navas and Torres at late stages of games are pre mediated intelligent moves, they are not Plan B's or last throws of dices. Navas and Pedro provide direct play from the flanks and Torres, playing on the last shoulder of the defender as he has always done, ensures the opposition have an extra layer of attack to worry about at such a decisive moment in the game. Bringing on these players isn't seen as a sign of weakness or abandoning their principles. It's another part of a masterplan.


The most crucial part of Spains possession masterplan is Sergio Busquets. To suggest he does the dirty work which lets the artists perform their magic is a massive, massive disservice. He is an artist in his own right. He has created a brand new position in football and made it his own. A frightening rise from Barcelona B football 4 years ago to where he is now. He is the perfect mixture of other fantastic players such as Khedira and De Rossi with the intelligence and anticipation of Claude Makelele. The self styled master of 'half touch football' he never stops moving, constantly prodding and cajoling those around him. 77 passes, 84 touches of the ball against Portugal. The most abnormal thing about these statistics is how normal they seem. They have changed the way we analyse, watch and appreciate football forever. When Alba rampages forward, he steps back into defence and mops up. He is the security blanket, the safety net.


If it is a disservice to Busquets to describe him as doing the dirty work to allow the artists to roam, it is nothing compared to talking about Picasso and Andres Iniesta in the same sentence. In Picasso's dreams! 


As Graham Hunter described him in his excellent book, Barca : The Making of the Greatest Team in the World, he is the solutions man. The man tasked more often than not with not only picking the lock, but swinging it off it's hinges. He is probably still one of the most under rated players in world football. I don't mean no-one rates him, I mean very few rate him as high as he deserves. For me he is better than Xavi and will step up yet another level once pelopo retires.  He is the most complete footballer I have ever seen, always 3 steps ahead of the game and with the most phenomenal technical abilities. Just look at the technique required to score the World Cup winning goal. At that stage of the game, to get himself in that position took superhuman effort, never mind the consumate skill and ease with which he dispatched his shot past Stekelenburg. 

A criticism could be levied that he always seems to encounter injury problems and when fit, doesn't perhaps score as many goals as he should. I prefer to look at the positives and consider it a sheer delight to even have the pleasure to see him at work. In this tournament he has been at his incisive best, the flood of central midfielders has taken the focus off him and allowed him to shine in a slightly more advanced position than he is used to at club level.


Despite starting this article determined to disprove the Boring Boring Spain theory I've decided throughout the article that people can say what the like. If the worst thing they can say about this team who stand on the brink of making history is that they are boring, then they are certainly doing something right.


Viva España




Monday, 11 June 2012

French flair stifles English endeavour

This was a match many thought would set the tone for each teams respective tournaments. The two biggest teams in the group, both with the expectation/hope of registering maximum points in the other group games would be hoping to gain an advantage in this game and hopefully avoid Spain in the quarter finals. As it was, it turned out to be not much more than a damp squib.

The perception of both teams is that they have struggled since World Cup 2010 despite France putting together a now 22 game unbeaten run and England coming through Euro 2012 qualifying with relative ease. The reality is that both teams are very good at qualifying but, certainly in recent times have struggled to get into the later stages of major tournaments. This is in part down to a decline in talent and archaic tactical structures in Englands case (which we wil come to later) and bad coaching and player decisions from France. Both teams came into the Euros hoping to put this behind them and, with expectations at their lowest in recent memory, quietly go about their business.

France lined up much as expected, an unorthodox 4-3-3 with Malouda providing the guile in the centre of the park. There was a reliance on the full backs, Evra and Debuchy to get forward to support Ribery and Nasri. As it was, Debuchy had the better game of the two despite being up against Oxlade-Chamberlain and Ashley Cole. Evra struggled to contain and pass off Milner when he came inside and was exposed to Glen Johnson's rampaging runs on more than one occasions. He handled this fairly well but there was none of the attacking intent that we see so often for Manchester United.

If you're familiar with Roy Hodgson's teams, what England offered today will have came as no surprise. Two banks of four, very deep, very disciplined when not with the ball with midfield runners supporting two attackers should the chance arise. The one surprise starter, Oxlade-Chamberlain, had a quiet match possibly under the weight of expectation. In his defence, he was playing directly against the best player on the park, Mathieu Debuchy.



Just how deep and defensive England played comes as no surprise when you compare both teams creative hubs and central player as shown above. Ashley Young only attempted 14 passes in the entire match (of which 12 were successful). Compare this to his counterpart in the French midfield zone, Samir Nasri, who attemped a fantastic 93 passes (85 successful)

Englands goal was...English. Simplistic yet effective. A fantastic free kick from Gerrard to the back post, Lescott's point blank header. 1-0. Easy. It was very much against the run of play and you felt if England could keep it tight until half time then they could continue to shut up shop in the second half and grind the result out. As it was, they came undone within 9 minutes and it could have been a lot sooner. Between Englands goal and Nasri's leveller, Alou Diarra had two chances which he should have converted. It proved to be third time lucky for France as Nasri managed to squeeze a low shot inside Joe Harts near post after some neat work from Evra and Ribery. Nasri has received plaudits for the finish but Hart got a weak hand to it and will be disappointed to have lost a goal to a club teammate in such a manner.

England tired considerably in the second half, they completed only 136 passes in the second half and 307 overall compared to France's 634. Both teams generally seemed happy with their lot although France, to their credit probed away without really making much inroads.


Striking differences


Danny Wellbeck and Karim Benzema played as the lone strikers for their teams today, neither had particularly great games but for very different reasons. France played fairly well, however it seemed to fall down when it came to Benzema. Coming off the back off a tremendously impressive season at Madrid in which he scored 32 goals in 51 appearances and finally consolidated his position as the teams   central striker he would have been quietly confident of troubling an unfamiliar and at times potentially cumbersome England central defence. As it was he was fairly well nullified and restricted to 6 shots, 4 of which were from outside the penalty area with only 3 on target.



Wellbeck had a successful breakthrough season at Man Utd, however in this game he was asked to play as a lone striker. He is a reactive player rather than proactive and as such this doesn't really suit him. I find he works better with a partner, someone he can buzz around and feed off of. Ashley Young wasn't able to have as much of an influence on this game as I mentioned above and as the link player, Englands game plan was always going to fall down here. You can see how ineffective and starved of service Wellbeck was by the shot comparison above; not a single effort registered, either on or off target tells it's own story.

The return of Rooney for the last group stage should ensure England are considerably more cohesive in the final third but their lack of forward play was particularly striking when you consider how unbelievably unimpressive Rami and Mexes were as a centre back pairing. Mexes looks to be way past his peak and Rami appears to be a shadow of the player at Lille a couple of seasons back. It looks like this will be Blancs main challenge over the next couple of games and we may see Koscielny given some game time in future.

A match which on paper was never going to be a classic certainly proved this way in which was probably the poorest game of the Euro's so far. Hodgson can be commended for tightening England up and ensuring they were at the very least disciplined and solid. The real test will be in the next two games when England will be the the favourites (something Hodgson hardly had much success with at Liverpool) and have to play with attacking intent. For France, this has to be considered a job well done, over the piece they may be happy with a point but feel they could have gained more. With the players at their disposal they should be confident of taking maximum points from their remaining two games and qualifying from the group.


Belik's Boys Caught In Czech-mate

Panenka in ’76, Poborsky in ’96 and Baros in ’04. The Czechs have given us some of the European Championships most iconic and memorable moments. However, after a crushing defeat against the Russians on the tournaments opening day, and with time now running out for the Golden Generation, it is difficult to see which direction the one –time perennial dark horses are going to take.

The spine of the squad that started against Russia is the same solid and much decorated trio that that formed the basis of the side that came close to winning in Portugal eight years ago. Petr Cech needs no introduction and, a decade after winning his maiden cap, he remains as influential as ever. Tomas Rosicky took over the captains armband upon Pavel Nedveds 2006 retirement, and with it much of the Czechs creative responsibility. Former Liverpool prodigy Milan Baros continues to lead the line, now featuring at his 4th major tournament with his country.

Jiracek looks promising

Despite the Russians eventual dominance, it was the Czechs who started brightest. In particular, the central pairing of Jaroslav Plasil and Wolfsburg man Petr Jiracek were effective in pinning back Russians Zenit-inspired midfield three. At 26 and earning only his 9th cap, Jiracek is a relatively late developer in the international scene. Brought in towards the end of the qualifying campaign in a bid to rejuvenate a team weakened by the retirement of many of its established names, he has established himself as one of Michel Belik’s first picks. With his energetic and industrious style, he appears to be a far more natural replacement for Nedved than the diminutive and at times ponderous Rosicky.

While the Czechs strength lies in their energy in central midfield, they were left badly exposed down both flanks, a matter ruthlessly exposed by the marauding Russian fullbacks  Zyryanov and Zhirkov. Michal Kadlec has always been a far more convincing centre back than he is a full back, and with Arshavin and Dzagoev drifting inside at any opportunity, he lacked the tactical discipline to pass them off to his midfielders and was instead continuously caught in no mans land as the Russians got in behind. It was a similar problem for Theodor Selassie on the right had side, who was given a torrid time from the outstanding Dzagoev. While Czech teams off the past could call on the likes of Marek Jankulovski and Tomas Galasek, the current side is sorely lacking the experience and reliability these two offered.

Belik’s half time substitution, were he replaced the ineffectual Rezek for holding midfielder Thoams Hubschman, went some way to addressing the problems the Czechs faced the area between the midfield and defence were Arshavin was finding so much space. A better balance in the side brought more of the ball however, in a fashion that was indicative of their qualifying campaign; there was a lot of huffing and puffing with almost zero penetration. With the exception of Vaclav Pilars well timed run that brought the Czechs goal, there was almost nothing in the way of a killer pass from either Hubschman or the increasingly marginalised Rosicky. The Arsenal man was given the role of supporting Milan Baros, but never got close enough to the striker and lacked the sharpness needed to unlock the Russian defence. It has been a difficult past 2 years for the Arsenal man and despite a late flurry at the tale end of the season, it seems a move a way from London may be the best way to rejuvenate the talented midfielder (it has certainly worked for Arshavin!).


Milan Baros cut a forlorn figure
Milan Baros has always been an enigma of the international game. Not seen on these shores since his unspectacular stint on loan at Portsmouth, his unspectacular club form is a direct contract to his international record, currently standing at a more than impressive 41 goals in 90 appearences. The effective ‘little and large’ partnership with Jan Koller that bore so much fruit is now gone however, as is the seering pace that once made him such a threat. Without Kollers knockdowns and the pace to get in behind defenders, Baros cut a forlorn figure up front on his own on Friday, it is clear he would be far more suited to playing as part of a two. Former Spurs youngster Tomas Pekhart is a good prospect and may well be a thread to Baros’ position after this tournament, however he is still raw and has yet to break his international scoring duck.
The Czech side were naïve, in their approach without the ball and in there execution with it it. 8 years ago, Russia too found themselves in a position were they were struggling on the international stage following the likes of Aleksandr Mostovois’ retirement. Their response back then was to reinvent themelves from a solid, workmanlike side and put their emphasis on bringing through a new breed of raw, untried, but technically gifted players. With the golden generation now coming to an end, the Czechs could do a lot worse than follow their lead.

Sunday, 10 June 2012

Group C - Busquets vs De Rossi; Anchor vs Libero

Group C - Busquets vs De Rossi; Anchor vs Libero

You could be forgiven for thinking this would be a stuffy match. Spain's consistent, repetitive short passing movements against Italy's latest form of catenaccio. It was anything but and produced the most interesting and entertaining match of the Euro's so far.

Italy came into the match rocked by yet another scandal (betting this time) and took the remarkably brave step of lining up in a 3-5-2 with De Rossi playing as a libero/sweeper. Looking at Spains squad (which I blogged about last week) it was obvious that something was going to change. The loss of Villa, the loss of form of Torres and loss of fitness of Llorente meant that pure striking options for Spain are practically non existent. To that end, Del Bosque lined up with 6 proper midfielders in a 4-6-0. This is not a new formation however this was the first time it had been seen by Spain on such a big occasion. Everton have used this several times over the last 2 seasons with Osman, Fellaini and Cahill each playing some variation of a false 9. Scotland of course used this against Czech Republic at the start of Euro 2012 qualifying to disastrous effect both in terms of the match and the media fall out.

The match started off with Spain probing as ever and Italy looking to contain where possible. As the half wore on Italy started becoming more adventurous. Giaccherini and Maggio were getting forward to great effect and the fantastic long passes of De Rossi and Pirlo were consistently finding Cassano in the channel between Arbeloa and Ramos. A wonderful goal by the evergreen Di Natale 3 minutes after coming on as a sub looked to have put Italy in the driving seat however 3 minutes later Fabregas equalised thanks to some smart play by Iniesta and a fantastic round the corner flick by Silva. Had Italy hung on for a couple of minutes longer and regrouped then I don't think Spain would have been able to recover. Testament to Del Bosque for changing things shortly after bringing on the pacy direct Jesus Navas and Torres to stretch Italy's back line but it was to no avail.


Busquets vs De Rossi


Sergio Busquets
The most intriguing aspect of this match for me centre around the No 16 for both teams. Daniele De Rossi, playing in a brand new position (libero) and a brand new formation 3-5-2, and Sergio Busquets playing in his usual Barca anchorman position with a slight twist. It was interesting to note that while they were playing in entirely different formations and tactical frameworks, their roles were incredibly similar. Both players were required to be the spare man to allow their respective wing backs to bomb forward, De Rossi from his starting position and Busquets performing his now almost telepathic secondary role of splitting the centre backs to cover strikers.  Luis Enrique has tried, with some success, to get De Rossi to play what is now known as 'the Busquets role' last season with Roma so it was very interesting to see his take on it in an even more withdrawn role. He did not disappoint.




The image above shows each players attempted passes during the game. As is expected from a La Masia graduate, Busquets attempted 101 passes with a 92% completion rate. De Rossi on the other hand, attempted just over half the number of passes Busquets did with an 85% success rate. Not bad by anything other than Barcelona standards. The difference as you can see is the number of long passes De Rossi attempted. Some came off, some didn't however they were a vital attacking weapon for Prandelli's team and they could and should have made more of them.





Above you can see the difference between De Rossi and Busquets and Italy and Spains mentality. All of De Rossi's tackles (100% success rate) were made within 20 yards of his own goal and were crucial in preventing certain goal scoring opportunities. Busquets traditionally breaks up play and distributes to the runners quickly as you can see by all of his attempted tackles taking place in the midzone or the edge of the opponents box. Ordinarily Busquets could be expected to get a nosebleed this close to the opposition goal however it shows effectively how much faith Spain put in high pressing. Below you can also see the difference between their interceptions which again illustrates how high up the park Busquets is asked to press (despite being the holding midfielder) compared to De Rossi.




De Rossi, displaying his tackling tattoo
De Rossi was imperious throughout, consistently sweeping up and one tackle in particular, although he didn't actually intercept the ball, put Iniesta off enough to ensure his shot was screwed just wide (with a slight finger tip save from Buffon). Busquets, on the other hand was uncharacteristically ruffled by the pressing and power of Marchisio and Motta to the extent that I was surprised that his pass completion rate is so high.




It looks like this group may come down to how much each team can score against the other two teams. Neither are traditionally high scoring in tournament football but with a quarter final place against France or England (assuming there are no upsets!) awaiting the group winners, perhaps this may change.

 

Player of this game and any game lucky enough to have him in it: Andres Iniesta


Andresito winning the World Cup for Spain



Saturday, 9 June 2012

Euro 2012 - Group B Ones to watch

Euro 2012 - Group B Ones to watch





The Euros kicked off last night with two wildly different games. Poland vs Greece was a story of two red cards, Poland should have killed the game off in the first and were made to pay for their profligacy as Dimitris Salpingdis levelled Robert Lewandowski's first half header. It could have been much worse for Poland as Karagounis also missed a spot kick after Salpingdis was hauled down by Szczesny just after half time.

Russia vs Czech Republic was a masterclass from Advocaats team. He looks to have found a system which best utilizes the mercurial talents of Arshavin and Dzagoev. If Kerzakhovs finishing had been a little better then this could have been a cricket score. As it was 4-1 was well deserved and the Czechs have it all to do now.

Today we have Group B. Germany, Holland, Portugal and Denmark. The Group of Death. Every tournament involves a 'group of death', on this occasion they may be correct (although for me, Group A is a lot more cut throat due to the lack of a TOP team and therefore probably more difficult to qualify from)

Each team has their own merits and stars however I thought it might be worthwhile to pick out a player from each team who may not be as well known as their countrymen.

Andre Schurrle - Germany


Schurrle is an extremely intelligent inside forward who favours playing on the left side of an attacking midfield trio.  Mario Gotze is currently the darling of Die Mannschaft and rightly so however Schurrle is making leaps and bounds under the radar. Indeed, he has more chance of starting tonight's match against Portugal than Gotze does. Schurrle is in direct competition with Arsenal new boy Lukas Podolski who has just completed a difficult season with Koln (they have been relegated to Bundesliga 2.)

Schurrle started his career with Mainz in Germany. His big move to Leverkusen came in 2011 for £6.5m. He has since racked up 30 league appearances and scored 7 goals. Not bad for a Leverkusen team who were firmly in the Champions League Hunt until spring. In his 14 games for the national team he has grabbed 7 goals - a tremendous return of a goal ever other game. Gotze may go on to be the bigger star and grab all the headlines but, whatever the future holds for Schurrle (he has been linked with a £15m move to Chelsea) you can be sure it will be successful.

Christian Eriksen - Denmark



Probably the most well known of the quartet, Eriksen is the crown prince of Morten Olsens latest Denmark reincarnation. Eriksen started his professional career with Odense in his homeland before moving to Ajax in 2008 aged 16 for the princely sum of £1m . Now aged 20 he comes into the Euros after 3 full seasons in the Ajax first team, two Eredivisie titles and the recipient of Dutch Player of the Year 2011. Despite only just having turned 20 he is the undisputed star of the Ajax team which has dazzled fans this season under the tutelage of Frank De Boer and the Danish national team (outwith Nicklas Bendtner's head). Eriksen is a traditional number 10, the type Ajax always seem to produce (most recently his Group B counterparts Wesley Sneijder and Rafael Van Der Vaart).

Eriksen appears to have his feet firmly on the ground and is looking to finish his development with Ajax for at least another season before having his pick of Europes biggest clubs. A real talent who has been provided with a tough group in which to showcase his talents. It will be interesting to see how he handles this but if his career so far is to to by it will be with his typical grounded intelliget approach and fantastic eye for a pass.

Ibrahim Affelay - Netherlands

It actually shocked me when researching this blog to discover that Affelay is 26 years old. He still appears unable to shake off the 'wonder kid' tag which followed him about in his younger days. Affelay started out at PSV, like so many other Dutch players. The difference is he stayed for 8 years, moving only to Barcelona 18 months ago for the fairly insignificant sum of £2.5m. As we know, only a certain type of player is deemed worthy of being able to integrate themselves into a team brimming with natural 'Barca DNA' Affelay adapted immediately and according to some Barca coaches played like he had been there since he was 13. He made a steady start to his Barcelona career including a debut against Arsenal in the Champions League and setting up Messi to score the second goal in April 2011's 2-0 Clasico victory in the semi final. In September his first full season was cut short with an anterior cruciate ligament injury which he has only recently recovered from.

I didn't expect Affelay to be included in the squad for the Euro's or at best I believed he would be used mainly as an impact sub similar to Euro 2008 and the World Cup in South Africa. It seems however, Bert Van Marwijk, is intent in using him ahead of Dirk Kuyt in his first 11. Affelay has been man of the match in 2 of the Netherlands warm up games including 2 goals in the recently 6-0 mauling of Northern Ireland.


Affelay could be the surprise package of this tournament. All the attention is rightly focused Spain and the likes of Xavi and Iniesta but it could be their Barcelona team mate who grabs the plaudits and the glory this summer.

Joao Moutinho - Portugal

Portugal only have one player right? No chance. Joao Moutinho is my kind of player. Another modern midfielder with the capability of playing anywhere, I find he really comes to life in a midfield three. Moutinho started his career at Sporting in 2005 and played for 5 years before making the surprising step of signing for Porto. He encountered huge amounts of criticism for this as he was Sporting's captain and star player. He enjoyed a hugely successful debut season for Porto under Andres Vilas Boas collecting the Portuguese league, cup and the UEFA cup.

Porto stalled last season on the back of this but still managed to recover to claim their third league title in 3 years. Linked heavily with Arsenal 3 years and ago still only 25, Moutinho will be hoping Portugal can discover a lethal touch in front of goal and start to shoot the bullets he loves to provide.






Monday, 4 June 2012

Return of Le King

France are on fire. Unbeaten in 20 games, sailing through Euro 2012 qualifying and culminating in 2 victories last week. The first was a tremendous comeback from 2-1 down with 85 mins on the clock to win 3-2 thanks to goals from Franck Ribery and the magnificent Adil Rami. The second was a bit more straightforward. A 2-0 victory against Serbia. Ribery, back on goal scoring form, got the first and forgotten Chelsea man Florent Malouda made the game safe.

These two victories were hardly against world class opposition but when you compare the France of now to the class of 2010 you can see a massive difference. France were embarrassed and embarrassing in South Africa. Infighting, petulance, baffling coaching and player decisions culminating in a Patrice Evra led boycott of a training session as a result of perceived harsh treatment of notorious model pupil Nicolas Anelka. They of course finished bottom of a group containing Uruguay, hosts South Africa and Mexico notching up a solitary point and goal in the process.

Laurent Blanc had already been approached to take over from Raymond Domenech and his first act as coach sent shockwaves through the country whilst simultaneously providing the foundations for the future.

Blanc dropped every single player present at the World Cup for his first match against Norway as a punishment for their behaviour. In doing so he gave the following players (amongst others) their national team debuts.

Mathieu Debuchy, Adil Rami, Mahamadou Sakho, Yohan Cabaye and Jeremy Menez.

All have since became household names in Europe with Cabaye being the most well known in this country die to his magnificent debut season with Newcastle. Blanc, in effect, did what Villas-Boas failed to do with Chelsea. He completely overhauled the squad reducing the average age but the difference was Blanc had the experience and backing to complete this.

There's an argument that Blanc was the only man for the job after South Africa. A French sporting hero, the captain of France's historic World Cup 98 and Euro 2000 triumphs. He had also just finished a 3 year stint as head coach of Bordeaux delivering Ligue 1 and both cups to Les Girondins in 2008/09. This was Bordeaux first league victory since 1999.

It hasn't all been plain sailing for Blanc, especially with the murky race row which threatened to derail France just at a time when they seemed to be getting it together.

Laurent Blanc, Zidane & Desailly - France 1998


Euro 2012 line up



As I mentioned, France have undertaken a pretty sizable squad overhaul on international terms and in a Euro 2012 group with England, Ukraine and Sweden look favourites to finish in first place.

They play a 4-2-3-1 which is now widely recognised as the standard formation for European clubs (complete with double midfield pivot).

In goals they have their captain Hugo Lloris (the captaincy was not returned to Evra post South Africa).

Their defence pretty much picks itself due to Bacary Sagna's injury. I expect them to line up with Man Utd and Liverpool target Debuchy at right back and Evra on the other flank. In the centre, the ever impressive Rami should pair up with Mexes. Personally I feel Koscielny is the player in form and a future first pick partner for Rami but Mexes has the experience and gets the nod this time round.

Arsenal target Yann M'Vila


In front of them we have a familiar name and one we may be seeing more and more next season. Yohan Cabaye and Yann M'Vila (provided he recovers from injury in time). They are a classic double pivot. Cabaye is the playmaker or regista while M'Vila is a classic holding midfielder with a fantastic eye for a pass. The double pivot will allow Evra and Debuchy licence to roam forward unrestrained and double up with their midfield counterparts.


              
As with most teams, the attackers get the most headlines and consequently generate the most debate.

Oliver Giroud and errr..Mathieu Debucy
Further up the field I would play Ribery, Nasri and Benzema as a 3 behind Olivier Giroud. Giroud has been fantastic this season in Montpelliers fantastic Ligue 1 winning season. This is the tournament where he could explode onto the scene and get a move to a big club abroad. Benzema and Nasri are also coming into the finals on the back of hugely successful domestic seasons so confidence should be sky high.

With the talent France have at their disposal I feel it's a disservice to class them as a dark horse in this tournament. They should always be aiming to reach semi finals and finals of major tournaments but after the trials and tribulations of South Africa, less is expected of them. It's under this type of relatively pressure free environment where promising teams can become great.

I mentioned earlier that Iceland and Serbia were hardly world class opposition. During this 20 game unbeaten run France have also turned over England, Germany and Brazil. We'll find out over the next couple of weeks whether they can perform when it really matters.

Friday, 1 June 2012

La Furia Roja - An Era Continues?

La Furia Roja - An Era Continues?




Two things strikes me most about Spain's Euro 2012 and they are not centred around the inclusion of Torres or how they will cope with the absence of Puyol. It's not even the 'debate' around Negredo or Soldado (Soldado, by the way)

The first is that of the 20 outfield players selected an eye-watering TWELVE players are primarily midfielders (if you include Juanfran & Javi Martinez in their recognised positions).

I don't believe this is a coincidence, I think theres a strong possibility we could see a tactical shift akin to that of Chile, Barcelona and a large portion of Serie A in recent seasons and adopt a 3 men defence. Of course, there are many variations in front of this but it makes sense to think that they will adopt Barcelona's variation due to the success both Spain and Barca have had in recent years with primarily the same set up.

If you ignore the midfield for a second, the 3 strikers that have been selected do not require, or benefit from a strike partner (Negredo potentially aside) so this would suggest most definitely playing one up front - most likely Llorente.

A case for the defence


In defence, theres more of a case for a flat 4. It almost picks itself for me (Ramos, Pique, Javi Martinez, Alba), however, the inclusion of Javi Martinez is very interesting and leads me to wonder if a 3 man defence may be utilised in certain situations.

Marcelo Bielsa has been extremely effective in turning him from a Sergio Busquets-esque holding midfielder into a traditional continental centre half at Athletic this season. With Llorente likely (in my eyes) to start up front, Javi Martinez long passing ability to his club mate could be a vital weapon for a team considered to have no Plan B.

Javi Martinez


Martinez of course, offers a fantastic range of passing, something we are seeing more from central defenders and starting him, Pique & Alba/Ramos in a back 3 may be an option Del Bosque has considered. With Busquets well versed in dropping back to cover Dani Alves at club level, this could give Spain this Barca-dimension with Alba/Ramos encouraged to attack unashamedly.


Midfield minefield


That brings us to the midfield where, in my eyes, only Germany can come close to the sheer volume of talent Spain has on their hands. What no-one can come close to is the almost telepathic links a large majority of the Spanish midfield has from 5+ years of winning together at club and international level. If we assume a 3 at the back with a solitary striker, I expect the 6 'midfielders' to be Xavi Alonso, Busquets, Xavi, Iniesta, Silva and Pedro. I think the first 5 speak for themselves, Pedro may be the only surprise choice in there but he is a fantastic big game player, much more capable of providing a cutting edge than say Fabregas or Mata. He offers something a great deal more direct than anyone else in the squad. As I mentioned, Spain are ridiculously blessed in midfield - it would be inconceivable for any other team to even think about leaving Cazorla (my player of the season in Spain), Fabregas & Mata on the bench!

My La Liga POTY can expect little or no game time such is the embarrasment of riches in front of him.

Force for the future


Secondly, there are murmurs that Spain cannot win again with the same players who have played (and won) so many games over the 4 seasons since Euro 2008. Of the players selected, Javi Martinez, Alba, Juanfran, Fabregas, Mata, Llorente and Negredo played little or no part in Euro 2008 or South Africa 2010.

This doesn't even begin to include the wealth of talent which has not made the squad but would feasibly expect to make the majority of other countries final 23.Capdevila, Javi Garcia, Borja Valero, Soldado and Isco could reasonably be aggrieved to be missing out however there is a further conveyor belt just below waiting to set up. Players such as De Gea, Ander Herrera, Munian, Thiago, Adrian were all U21 Championship winners last season. Add in the Barca conveyor belt showing no sign of slowing down (Montoya, Bartra, Sergi Roberto, Samper, Cuenca, Tello to name more than a few) and it looks like Spain may have more than a fair chance of not only producing a historic third title in a row, but conceivably adding to it further in 2012 and beyond.